Разговор Зеленского с Трампом и Вэнсом в Овальном Кабинете

2025-03-02 13:04:32

Trump: 
00:00-00:04
... The world. I'm aligned with the world. And I want to get this thing over with. You see

Trump: 
00:04-00:08
the hatred he's got for Putin. It's very tough for me to make a deal with that kind of hate.

Trump: 
00:08-00:13
He's got tremendous hatred. And I understand that. But I can tell you the other side isn't

Trump: 
00:13-00:20
exactly in love with him either. So it's not a question of alignment. I have to -- I'm

Trump: 
00:20-00:26
aligned with the world. I want to get the thing set. I'm aligned with Europe. I want

Trump: 
00:26-00:31
to see if we can get this thing done. You want me to be tough? I could be tougher than

Trump: 
00:31-00:36
any human being you've ever seen. I'd be so tough. But you're never going to get a deal

Trump: 
00:36-00:38
that way. So that's the way it goes."

Trump: 
00:38-00:39
All right, one more question.

Vance: 
00:41-00:44
I will respond to this. So, look, for four years in the United States of America, we

Vance: 
00:44-00:49
had a president who stood up at press conferences and talked tough about Vladimir Putin, and

Vance: 
00:49-00:54
then Putin invaded Ukraine and destroyed a significant chunk of the country. The path

Vance: 
00:54-01:01
to peace and the path to prosperity is maybe engaging in diplomacy. We tried the pathway

Vance: 
01:01-01:07
of Joe Biden of thumping our chest and pretending that the president of the United States'

Vance: 
01:07-01:12
words mattered more than the president of the United States' actions. What makes America

Vance: 
01:12-01:16
a good country is America engaging in diplomacy. That's what President Trump is doing.

Zelensky: 
01:16-01:17
Can I ask you?

Vance: 
01:17-01:18
Sure.

Zelensky: 
01:18-01:19
Yeah?

Vance: 
01:19-01:20
Yeah.

Zelensky: 
01:20-01:30
Okay. So he occupied our parts, big parts of Ukraine, parts of East and Crimea. So he

Zelensky: 
01:30-01:38
occupied it on 2014. So during a lot of years – I'm not speaking about just Biden, but

Zelensky: 
01:38-01:45
those time was Obama, then President Obama, then President Trump, then President Biden,

Zelensky: 
01:45-01:51
now President Trump, and God bless, now President Trump will stop him. But during 2014, nobody

Zelensky: 
01:51-01:56
stopped him. He just occupied and took. He killed people. You know what the contact line...

Trump: 
01:57-01:58
2015.

Zelensky: 
01:58-01:59
2014.

Vance: 
01:59-02:00
2014.

Trump: 
02:00-02:01
2014.

Trump: 
02:01-02:02
I was not here.

Vance: 
02:02-02:03
That's exactly right.

Zelensky: 
02:03-02:12
Yeah, but – yes, but during 2014 till 2022, the situation the same. People have

Zelensky: 
02:12-02:17
been dying on the contact line. Nobody stopped him. You know that we had conversations with

Zelensky: 
02:17-02:25
him, a lot of conversation, my bilateral conversation, and we signed with him, me, like a new president,

Zelensky: 
02:25-02:34
in 2019 I signed with him the deal. I signed with him, Macron and Merkel, we signed ceasefire.

Zelensky: 
02:34-02:41
Ceasefire. All of them told me that he will never go. We signed him gas contract, gas

Zelensky: 
02:41-02:48
contract. Yes, but after that, he broken the ceasefire. He killed our people and he didn't

Zelensky: 
02:48-02:54
exchange prisoners. We signed the exchange of prisoners, but he didn't do it. What kind

Zelensky: 
02:54-02:58
of diplomacy, J.D., you are speaking about? What do you mean?

Vance: 
02:58-03:02
I'm talking about the kind of diplomacy that's going to end the destruction

Vance: 
03:02-03:03
of your country.

Zelensky: 
03:03-03:04
Yes, but if you are not –

Vance: 
03:04-03:06
Mr. President, Mr. President, with respect, I think it's disrespectful

Vance: 
03:06-03:09
for you to come into the Oval Office and try to litigate this in front of the American

Vance: 
03:09-03:14
media. Right now, you guys are going around and forcing conscripts to the front lines

Vance: 
03:14-03:19
because you have manpower problems. You should be thanking the President for trying to bring

Vance: 
03:19-03:20
it into this conflict.

Zelensky: 
03:20-03:23
Have you ever been to Ukraine that you say what problems we have?

Vance: 
03:23-03:24
I have been to –

Zelensky: 
03:24-03:25
Count once.

Vance: 
03:25-03:30
I have actually watched and seen the stories, and I know what happens is you

Vance: 
03:30-03:35
bring people, you bring them on a propaganda tour, Mr. President. Do you disagree that

Vance: 
03:35-03:38
you've had problems bringing people into your military?

Zelensky: 
03:38-03:39
We have problems.

Vance: 
03:39-03:42
Do you think that it's respectful to come to the Oval Office of the United States

Vance: 
03:42-03:47
of America and attack the administration that is trying to prevent the destruction of your

Vance: 
03:47-03:48
country?

Zelensky: 
03:48-03:51
A lot of questions. Let's start from the beginning.

Vance: 
03:51-03:52
Sure.

Zelensky: 
03:52-03:55
First of all, during the war, everybody has problems, even you. But you

Zelensky: 
03:55-04:01
have nice ocean and don't feel now, but you will feel it in the future. God bless.

Trump: 
04:01-04:02
You don't know that.

Zelensky: 
04:02-04:03
God bless.

Trump: 
04:03-04:04
You don't know that.

Zelensky: 
04:04-04:05
God bless. You will not have a war.

Trump: 
04:05-04:07
Вon't tell us what we're going to feel. We're trying to

Trump: 
04:07-04:09
solve a problem. Don't tell us what we're going to feel.

Zelensky: 
04:09-04:10
I'm not telling you.

Trump: 
04:10-04:12
Because you're in no position to dictate that.

Vance: 
04:12-04:13
That's exactly what you're doing.

Trump: 
04:13-04:19
You're in no position to dictate what we're going to feel. We're going to feel

Trump: 
04:19-04:20
very good.

Zelensky: 
04:20-04:21
You will feel influence.

Trump: 
04:21-04:23
We're going to feel very good and very strong.

Zelensky: 
04:23-04:24
You will feel influence.

Trump: 
04:24-04:28
You're right now not in a very good position. You've allowed yourself to

Trump: 
04:28-04:30
be in a very bad position and he happens to be right about it.

Zelensky: 
04:30-04:32
From the very beginning of the war, Mr. President, I was –

Trump: 
04:32-04:36
You're not in a good position. You don't have the cards right now. With us,

Trump: 
04:36-04:37
you start having cards.

Zelensky: 
04:37-04:38
I'm not playing cards.

Trump: 
04:38-04:39
Right now, you don't have – you're playing cards.

Zelensky: 
04:39-04:40
I'm very serious, Mr. President.

Trump: 
04:40-04:41
You're playing cards.

Zelensky: 
04:41-04:42
I'm very serious.

Trump: 
04:42-04:43
You're gambling with the lives of millions of people.

Zelensky: 
04:43-04:44
I'm very serious.

Trump: 
04:44-04:45
You're gambling with the lives of millions of people.

Zelensky: 
04:45-04:46
What you're thinking -

Trump: 
04:46-04:47
You're gambling with World War III.

Zelensky: 
04:47-04:48
What do you think -

Trump: 
04:48-05:06
You're gambling with World War III. And what you're doing is very disrespectful

Trump: 
05:06-05:07
to the country, this country, that's backed you far more than a lot of people said they

Trump: 
05:07-05:08
should have.

Vance: 
05:09-05:10
Have you said thank you once in this entire meeting?

Zelensky: 
05:10-05:11
A lot of times.

Vance: 
05:11-05:12
No, in this entire meeting, have you said thank you?

Zelensky: 
05:12-05:13
Even today.

Vance: 
05:13-05:14
You went to Pennsylvania and campaigned for the opposition in October,

Vance: 
05:14-05:15
offered some words of appreciation for the United States of America and the President

Vance: 
05:15-05:16
who's trying to save your country.  

Trump: 
05:16-05:22
Please, you think that if you will speak very loudly about the war you can ...

Trump: 
05:23-05:25
He's not speaking loudly. He's not speaking loudly. Your country is in big

Trump: 
05:25-05:26
trouble.

Zelensky: 
05:26-05:27
Can I answer?

Trump: 
05:27-05:29
Wait a minute. No, no. You've done a lot of talking. Your country is in

Trump: 
05:29-05:30
big trouble.

Zelensky: 
05:30-05:31
I know. I know.

Trump: 
05:31-05:35
You're not winning. You're not winning this. You have a damn good chance

Trump: 
05:35-05:37
of coming out okay because of us.

Zelensky: 
05:37-05:40
Mr. President. We are staying in our country, staying strong.

Zelensky: 
05:40-05:44
From the very beginning of the war, we've been alone. And we are thankful. I said thanks in this cabinet ...

Trump: 
05:45-05:50
You haven't done a lot. We gave you, through this stupid President, $350 billion.

Zelensky: 
05:51-05:52
You voted for your President.

Trump: 
05:52-05:53
We gave you military equipment.

Zelensky: 
05:53-05:54
You voted for your President.

Trump: 
05:54-05:56
And your men are brave, but they had to use our military equipment.

Zelensky: 
05:56-05:57
What about this?

Trump: 
05:57-05:58
If you didn't have our military equipment ...

Zelensky: 
05:58-05:59
You invited me to speak ...

Trump: 
05:59-06:05
If you didn't have our military equipment, this war would have been over in two weeks.

Zelensky: 
06:06-06:09
In three days. I heard it from Putin. In three days. This is something you ...

Trump: 
06:10-06:11
Maybe less.

Zelensky: 
06:10-06:11
Of course, yes

Trump: 
06:11-06:14
It's going to be a very hard thing to do business like this. I tell you.

Vance: 
06:14-06:15
Just say thank you.

Zelensky: 
06:15-06:18
I said it many times to American people.

Vance: 
06:18-06:23
Accept that there are disagreements, and let's go litigate those disagreements

Vance: 
06:23-06:28
rather than trying to fight it out in the American media when you're wrong. We know

Vance: 
06:28-06:29
that you're wrong.

Trump: 
06:29-06:31
But you see, I think it's good for the American people to see what's

Trump: 
06:31-06:32
going on.

Vance: 
06:32-06:33
I understand, sir.

Trump: 
06:33-06:36
I think it's very important. That's why I kept this going so long. You

Trump: 
06:36-06:41
have to be thankful.

Zelensky: 
06:36-06:41
I am thankful.

Trump: 
06:36-06:41
You don't have the cards. You're buried there. You have people

Trump: 
06:41-06:43
that died. You're running low on soldiers.

Zelensky: 
06:43-06:44
I know. Don't, please...

Trump: 
06:44-06:48
Listen. You're running low on soldiers. It would be a damn good thing.

Trump: 
06:48-06:53
And then you tell us, I don't want a ceasefire. I don't want a ceasefire. I want to go,

Trump: 
06:53-06:59
and I want this. Look, if you could get a ceasefire right now, I tell you, you'd take

Trump: 
06:59-07:01
it so the bullets stop flying and your men stop getting killed.

Zelensky: 
07:01-07:03
Of course we want to stop the war.

Trump: 
07:03-07:04
But you're saying you don't want a ceasefire.

Zelensky: 
07:04-07:05
But I said to you –

Trump: 
07:05-07:06
I want a ceasefire.

Zelensky: 
07:06-07:07
 – with guarantees.

Trump: 
07:07-07:09
Because you'll get a ceasefire faster than an agreement.

Zelensky: 
07:09-07:11
Ask our people about ceasefire, what they think.

Trump: 
07:11-07:12
That wasn't with me.

Zelensky: 
07:12-07:13
It doesn't matter for you what the ceasefire means.

Trump: 
07:13-07:18
That wasn't with me. That was with a guy named Biden, who was not a

Trump: 
07:18-07:20
smart person. That was with Obama.

Zelensky: 
07:20-07:22
This is your president. It was your president.

Trump: 
07:22-07:26
Excuse me. That was with Obama, who gave you sheets, and I gave you Javelins.

Zelensky: 
07:26-07:27
Yes.

Trump: 
07:27-07:31
I gave you the javelins to take out all those tanks. Obama gave you

Trump: 
07:31-07:38
sheets. In fact, the statement is, Obama gave sheets and Trump gave javelins. You got to

Trump: 
07:38-07:43
be more thankful, because let me tell you, you don't have the cards. With us, you have

Trump: 
07:43-07:46
the cards. But without us, you don't have any cards.


07:46-07:49
One more question to Mr. Vice President. I'm sorry –

Trump: 
07:49-07:52
It's going to be a tough deal to make, because

Trump: 
07:52-07:53
the attitudes have to change.


07:53-08:00
What if Russia breaks the ceasefire? What if Russia breaks these talks? What do you


08:00-08:04
do then? I understand that it's a heated conversation right now.

Trump: 
08:04-08:05
What are you saying?

Vance: 
08:06-08:08
She's asking, what if Russia breaks the ceasefire?

Trump: 
08:08-08:12
Q What if – what if anything? What if a bomb drops on your head right now?


08:12-08:13
But they have broken the ceasefire.

Trump: 
08:13-08:17
Okay? What if they broke it? I don't know. They broke it with Biden, because

Trump: 
08:17-08:21
Biden, they didn't respect him. They didn't respect Obama. They respect me.

Trump: 
08:23-08:25
Let me tell you, Putin went through a hell of a lot with me. He went through

Trump: 
08:25-08:31
a phony witch hunt where they used him and Russia – Russia, Russia, Russia. You ever

Trump: 
08:31-08:37
hear of that deal? That was a phony – that was a phony Hunter Biden, Joe Biden scam.

Trump: 
08:37-08:43
Hillary Clinton, shifty Adam Schiff. It was a Democrat scam. And he had to go through

Trump: 
08:43-08:48
that. And he did go through it. We didn't end up in a war. And he went through it. He

Trump: 
08:48-08:52
was accused of all that stuff. He had nothing to do with it. It came out of Hunter Biden's

Trump: 
08:52-08:59
bathroom. It came out of Hunter Biden's bedroom. It was disgusting. And then they

Trump: 
08:59-09:07
said, oh, oh, the laptop from hell was made by Russia, the 51 agents. The whole thing

Trump: 
09:07-09:12
was a scam. And he had to put up with that. He was being accused of all that stuff.

Trump: 
09:12-09:18
All I can say is this. He might have broken deals with Obama and Bush, and he might have

Trump: 
09:18-09:22
broken them with Biden. He did, maybe. Maybe he didn't. I don't know what happened.

Trump: 
09:22-09:26
But he didn't break them with me. He wants to make a deal. I don't know if he can make

Trump: 
09:26-09:32
a deal. The problem is I've empowered you to be a tough guy. And I don't think you'd

Trump: 
09:32-09:37
be a tough guy without the United States. And your people are very brave. But you're

Trump: 
09:37-09:42
either going to make a deal or we're out. And if we're out, you'll fight it out.

Trump: 
09:42-09:46
I don't think it's going to be pretty, but you'll fight it out. But you don't

Trump: 
09:46-09:51
have the cards. But once we sign that deal, you're in a much better position. But you're

Trump: 
09:51-09:56
not acting at all thankful. And that's not a nice thing. I'll be honest. That's not

Trump: 
09:56-10:02
a nice thing. All right. I think we've seen enough. What do you think? This is going to

Trump: 
10:02-10:09
be great television. I will say that. We'll see what we can do about putting up with that.

Rome may require reservations for a major landmark in 2025

2024-09-06 22:14:10
Tourists heading to Rome may have to reserve their visit to the Trevi Fountain as a way to address overtourism ahead of the city’s 2025 Jubilee celebration, according to Roman officials.
 

Per reports from various outlets, Tourism Councilor Alessandro Onorato and Mayor Roberto Gualtieri told local Italian media outlets this week that they were considering capping the number of daily visitors to the fountain in anticipation of the once-in-25-years event.

Rome in July 2024. CLINT HENDERSON/THE POINTS GUY

Over the course of one year, Roman Catholics will make a pilgrimage to the Vatican in Rome — an event expected to draw more than 30 million people.

An advance reservation system with fixed time slots and a capacity limit for both the fountain and the steps around it is being considered, according to reports.

Reuters reported that nonresidents, including tourists, would be charged $1 to $2 per visit; residents are excluded from the requirement. It is not clear when this system will be implemented, but Jubilee begins Dec. 24, 2024, and goes through Jan. 6, 2026.

Crowds near the Trevi Fountain in Rome in October 2023. CLINT HENDERSON/THE POINTS GUY

Earlier this year, Venice, Italy, another popular tourist destination, announced plans to implement a permanent tourist tax. This announcement follows a one-month trial period last year when the city charged day-trippers 5 euros ($5.43) to enter.

Though the tax didn’t reduce visitor numbers as designed, it generated around 2.4 million euros (about $2.6 million) in additional income for essential municipal services. Barcelona also charges a regional tourist tax and a citywide surcharge for visitors.

Взято отсюда

Alleged fraudster got $10 million in royalties using robots to stream AI-made music

2024-09-05 12:33:33

A North Carolina man is facing fraud charges after allegedly uploading hundreds of thousands of AI-generated songs to streaming services and using bots to play them billions of times. Michael Smith is said to have received over $10 million in royalties since 2017 via the scheme.

Smith, 52, was arrested on Wednesday. An indictment [PDF] that was unsealed the same day accuses him of using the bots to steal royalty payments from platforms including SpotifyApple Music and Amazon Music. Smith has been charged with wire fraud conspiracy, wire fraud and money laundering conspiracy. Each count carries a maximum sentence of 20 years in prison. The US Attorney's Office for the Southern District of New York says this is its first criminal case that concerns the use of bots to artificially inflate music streaming numbers. 

Prosecutors accused Smith of creating thousands of bots to stream the songs. At first, he was said to have uploaded his own music to the streaming services, but realized that his catalog wasn't big enough to produce a large sum of royalties. After other efforts didn't pan out, he's said to have turned to AI-generated music in 2018.

According to the indictment, Smith began working with two unnamed co-conspirators — the CEO of an AI music company and a music promoter — to create hundreds of thousands of songs using AI. In exchange for a cut of revenue, the CEO allegedly provided thousands of tracks per week to Smith, who is said to have randomly generated song titles and artist names for the audio files.

Smith is accused of lying to streaming services by providing phony names and other fake account details while setting up the bots, and by agreeing to rules that ban streaming manipulation. According to the indictment, he deceived streaming services by making it seem the bot accounts were legit when in fact they "were hard coded to stream Smith’s music billions of times." Smith allegedly attempted to cover his tracks by using dummy email addresses and VPNs, while telling his co-conspirators to be “undetectable.”

"Michael Smith fraudulently streamed songs created with artificial intelligence billions of times in order to steal royalties," US Attorney Damian Williams said in a statement. "Through his brazen fraud scheme, Smith stole millions in royalties that should have been paid to musicians, songwriters, and other rights holders whose songs were legitimately streamed."

The case of Smith is in stark contrast to a musician The New York Times profiled earlier this year. Matt Farley has written, recorded and uploaded tens of thousands of songs to streaming services about anything and everything people might search for, from celebrities and marriage proposals to many tunes about poop. Some songs are just a few seconds long, but the practice seems to be entirely above board. He's said to have earned around $200,000 from his music in 2023.

Взято отсюда

Digital cameras: a dying breed

2024-08-29 16:04:30

Statista published two different charts showing  camera ownership and shipments over the years:


Digital cameras - a dying breed?

"As the following chart based on data from Statista Consumer Insights shows,  digital camera ownership has declined across the globe over the past few years, and it’s probably not a stretch to assume that usage has declined by even more than that. A look at global camera sales shows an industry in disarray, as more than 30 years of growth have been wiped out over the past decade."


Smartphones wipe 0ut decades of camera industry growth:

"To the camera and photo equipment industry, the rise of smartphone photography has had devastating effects. According to CIPA, a Japan-based industry group with members such as OM Digital Solutions (formerly Olympus), Canon and Nikon, worldwide camera shipments dropped by 94 percent between 2010 and 2023, wiping out decades of growth. The steep decline was mainly driven by a drop-off in shipments of digital cameras with built-in lenses, the type that casual photographers used to rely on prior to the rise of smartphone photography. In 2023, CIPA members shipped just 1.7 million cameras with built-in lens, down from almost 109 million in 2010."



Read more: https://photorumors.com/2024/08/22/digital-cameras-a-dying-breed-after-smartphones-wipe-out-decades-of-industry-growth/#ixzz8kKVdgiuA

Взято отсюда

То Что

2024-08-11 23:11:27

Вы знаете, то что я не выношу издевательств над русским языком. Некоторых из вас ужаснуло предыдущее предложение, а некоторые ничего не заметили и сами так говорят каждый день. К вам-то я и обращаюсь.

Что за нахрен «то что» на месте «что»? Вы что все, с ума посходили? Как у вас язык не отваливается, когда вы это произносите? Вот за последние несколько дней примеры:

— Я попробую сделать вид, то что я этого не услышал.

— Ты уверен, то что сметана свежая?

— Прости, то что я опоздал.

— Я надеюсь, то что у вас всё в порядке.

— У меня такое ощущение, то что...

Иноагент Юрий Дудь в своей давней лекции говорит так непрерывно:

— Так сложилось, то что интервью — это одна из основных...

— Мы всегда говорим, то что это происходит случайно...

— Я понимал, то что это можно доспросить потом по телефону...

— Вы должны понимать, то что чтобы человек раскрывался...

— Мне неловко, то что это самоцитирование...

Это было шесть лет назад, и тогда я думал, то что это его личная придурь. Но сегодня эта срань повсюду: так говорят половина подкастеров и инфлюенсеров. Этим отравляют детей прямо начиная с заставки «Малышариков»:

— Ну и что такого, то что нос не дорос?

Люди умудряются добавлять «то что» даже в случаях, когда «то» уже было перед этим в какой-то форме! Тоже за последние несколько дней:

— Дело в том, то что...

— Это же не работает так, то что (описывает, как могло бы работать)...

— Ты сказал мне о том, то что…

— Это всё из-за того, то что...

— Начнем с того, то что…

Представьте, то что вместо «как» все бы вдруг начали говорить «так как»:

— Я покажу тебе, так как правильно говорить по-русски.


Или вместо «где» — «там где»:

— Звоню уточнить, там где мы именно встречаемся?

Это безумие! Никакого «то что» не бывает. Может быть только «то, что» через запятую. И это совсем другое дело, с ним у предложения меняется смысл.

— Ты сказала то, что я хотел услышать.

Означает: я хотел услышать «я тебя люблю», и ты сказала «я тебя люблю». Ты сказала именно то, а не что-то другое. Слово «то» тут указывает на что-то, а не просто так стоит.

— Ты сказала, что я хотел услышать.

Означает косвенную речь: ты сказала «ты хотел услышать» (а я хотел увидеть, например).

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Россия строится на руинах Британии

2024-07-30 20:28:53
Нас опять будут обвинять в топорной российской пропаганде, но что поделать. The Telegraph сообщает, что Великобритания впервые в своей истории вылетела из топ-десять стран по показателю промышленного потенциала, опустившись в мировом рейтинге на 12-ю строчку. Империя, над которой еще не так давно не заходило солнце, пропустила вперед Мексику, Францию, Италию и даже островной Тайвань, то есть бывшую испано-голландскую колонию. Особенно сильные спазмы у авторов вызывает тот факт, что в этом же списке на восьмом месте угнездилась Россия, то есть наш отечественный реальный сектор демонстрирует динамику, которую не получается переврать даже при очень большом желании.
 
 
Современная экономическая теория определяет понятие промышленного потенциала государства (региона) как совокупную способность всех предприятий страны создавать и производить конкурентоспособную продукцию, успешно продвигать ее на рынке, реализовывать ее с получением прибыли, а также обеспечивать надлежащий уровень ее обслуживания.
 
В понятных и простых образах это способность разработать и наладить промышленный выпуск, скажем, электромобилей. При этом выпускаемые "электрички" должны быть конкурентны по цене и качеству, востребованы покупателями, их продажа должна приносить прибыль предприятию и налоги государству, а сам завод должен гарантировать полный цикл ремонта, обслуживания и текущей модернизации этого транспортного средства.
 
Рассчитывается промышленный потенциал по формуле, где суммируются стоимость основных производственных фондов, стоимость работы персонала, стоимость технологий и стоимость информации. Так вот, специалисты подсчитали, что за прошлый год Великобритания произвела товаров и услуг на 259 миллиардов долларов (200 миллиардов фунтов), в то время как у Франции этот же показатель составляет 265, у Италии - 283, а у России - 287 миллиардов долларов. И это притом что еще какую-то четверть века назад британцы входили в первую пятерку самых мощных промышленных государств планеты.
 
Аналитики отмечают бум производства в Мексике, которая в рейтинге расположилась сразу перед Россией с показателем 316 миллиардов долларов. Причиной роста называют массовый перенос производств в эту страну, причем цеха и лаборатории тут открывают и американские компании, стремящиеся минимизировать операционные расходы, и их китайские конкуренты, работающие на рынок США. Тайвань традиционно держится на плаву за счет массового выпуска чипов - в современном мире всепоглощающей электроники их раскупают как горячие пирожки и контракты расписаны на годы вперед.
 
На вершине индустриальной пирамиды расположились Соединенные Штаты (оборот торговли их продуктами превышает 2,7 триллиона долларов) и Китай. Поднебесная не имеет конкурентов даже на дальнем горизонте, ежегодно штампуя товаров на пять триллионов долларов. Это, кстати, крайне важный момент, о котором пишут уже американские финансисты, оценивающие шансы и перспективы новой торговой войны между Вашингтоном и Пекином в случае избрания Дональда Трампа. Если первый раунд этого трансграничного реслинга начинался с дисбалансом обоюдной торговли около 250 миллиардов долларов в пользу Китая, то сегодня его уже оценивают минимум в 400 миллиардов, и как видим, по валовым показателям реального сектора КНР оторвалась от США на недостижимое расстояние.
 
В то же время Великобритания, с которой и начался наш сегодняшний разговор, может "похвастать" закрытием последнего сталелитейного комбината и легендарной верфи. В первом случае речь идет о металлургическом комбинате индийской Tata Steel, руководство компании решило заглушить последние печи комбината Port Talbot в Южном Уэльсе из-за неподъемных затрат на производство, в том числе из-за кратно подорожавшей электроэнергии. Второй пример - это судостроительная верфь в Белфасте, где столетие назад со стапелей сошел легендарный "Титаник" и его брат-близнец "Олимпик". Harland Wolff, компания - владелец верфи, вела долгие и безуспешные переговоры с правительством в надежде получить государственную поддержку на покрытие накопленных долгов в размере 200 миллионов фунтов, но у Лондона нашлись статьи расходов поважнее. В настоящий момент Harland Wolff привлекла к спасению специалистов фонда Ротшильда, но даже британские источники пишут, что дело движется к банкротству - и не формальному, а физическому, при котором персонал выводят за ворота, а станки сдают на металл в счет погашения кредиторской задолженности.
 
Здесь можно было бы долго смаковать цифры и злорадствовать, но мы не будем. Отметим лишь, что текущий результат Великобритании - это конечная точка целой череды политических решений, первым среди которых был и Brexit. Официальный Лондон, пока шло обсуждение условий выхода Великобритании из состава ЕС и пока утрясались детали вроде порядка таможенного оформления товаров, завозимых в Северную Ирландию из Ирландии республиканской, не скрывал, что ставит целью дистанцироваться от еврозоны и ее проблем. Воротилы из Сити и ловкачи из Вестминстера рассчитывали, что, отделенные проливом, они закроются от миграции и, как всегда, будут снимать жирные сливки исключительно благодаря своим банковским и прочим финансовым инструментам. Это, кстати, один из базовых столпов современной неолиберальной идеологии постиндустриального общества. Концепция подразумевает, что грязные производства будут вынесены в некие страны третьего мира со сверхдешевой рабочей силой, а страны первого порядка будут получать с этого дивиденды, выстраивая экологически чистое общество будущего.
 
Реальность же такова, что в котле штормящей мировой экономики каждый спасается как может и наибольшие шансы здесь у стран, сделавших ставку на свой реальный сектор. В России в данном плане помогает разогнавшийся ВПК и отрасль строительства.
 
В завершение хотелось бы процитировать бессмертного классика - "его пример другим наука", ведь умные учатся на чужих ошибках. Можно много и красиво говорить о восстановлении промышленности, но процесс этот долгий и включает много этапов. Начинать нужно с насаждения массового и качественного технического образования, но это бесполезно, если не будет обратного спроса со стороны абитуриентов. То есть требуются еще и широчайшая работа по популяризации рабочих и научных специальностей, разработка или покупка передовых технологий, проработка ресурсной базы, выстраивание оптимальных энергетических цепочек и многое другое. Работа тяжелая, долгая и комплексная. И России уже сейчас следует предпринимать необходимые шаги для сохранения позитивных тенденций. СВО рано или поздно закончится, и нашей экономике понадобятся другие надежные драйверы промышленного роста.
 
Сергей Савчук

(https://ria.ru/20240730/v...) Взято отсюда